Saturday, March 29, 2008
Chinese youth culture - the one and the many
Saturday, March 22, 2008
China a world power?
The closely related factors of environment and population now figure prominently. These will not go away. China's insistence on six-percent annual economic growth is myopia as long as it refuses to deal with these problems pre-eminently. Let's look at the issue of apparent Chinese political resilience from the standpoint of how these and other factors play out. I will quickly add to the list of these: inflation, unemployment, gap between the rich and the poor, corruption, lack of social services and health care. All of these were on showcased display in the Frontline documentary "China in the Red". Honestly, I found there to be a certain striking arbitrariness whenever I considered different references to cite both to make my case and to demonstrate (what petty insecurity!) that I had "done my homework". I reached the point where I felt I could poke my finger randomly at any point in any book, article or video and relate whatever my finger touched to my case. That suggests to me that I may be on track, but I will spare an overly-tedious manifesto to document it. At this point, notice that none of the issues listed occur in a vacuum - they all tie together. Here, I will use the two logs of environment and population as representative of the whole - the load on the wheelbarrow.
Environment and population are both growth vectors: they move in one direction - getting bigger. A one-wheeled wheelbarrow is an excellent metaphor for discussing equilibria (and hence stability versus collapse). If you have ever used one much, as I have, you know they are easy to keep in balance if empty or with a light load. As the weight of the load increases, you have to be more and more careful about its balance. With a light load, it can hit a bump and tilt some but you can hold it. With a heavy load, the tiniest tilt is hopeless: the whole thing goes over and you lose your load. In this case, the wheelbarrow itself stands for the resilience of the Chinese infrastructure politically, economically and socially. The logs of environment and population are already in the wheelbarrow, and since the device has been pushed along so far successfully, it is easy to assume it can be handled with those two logs in it. But those are not static logs. They gradually increase, and because the increase is gradual, the consequences are easier to ignore. But at some point their forcing - the actual term used in equilibrium science - will surpass the capacity of the system (strength of the arms holding the handles). At this point, which can't be far away, you better be on very smooth level hard flawless pavement! The load can be kept only if the balance is perfect. Intuitively, the Chinese leaders get it - that is why they are so paranoid about social stability. But they refuse to properly take the growth of the weight into account. They refuse because it comes at the expense of their power and their lack of transparency: the very ingredients of the strength of their arms. Notice that nearly all of the increase in weight is internal - the outside world largely just plays referee.
Can China successfully overcome these difficulties and secure its status as a world power? Can the boy Douzi become the girl Dieyi? They can put on a good show. No doubt we will see one this summer. A stage performance reform is not an essential reform, and China at the leadership level has long abandoned all sense of the distinction within themselves as their ancient traditions more thoroughly understand. The external will reflect the internal, and all of China pays the price. They squelch the very Buddhists and Taoists who have the wisdom that could save them. My talk of balancing the wheelbarrow, framed in the modern science terms of punctuated equilibria, will not sound strange to these ancient ears.
So now we return to the beginning: "reconsidering" China as a world power is like watching to see if the referee throws a flag. To what extent can we "reconsider" in any meaningful way? Is it our place to tell China that if you become a world power we will send you to bed with no supper? No, but neither is it our place under a phony guise of real friendship (and only watching our own wallets) to cater to China's myopia at the top level. I believe that if we in the west are scared of China becoming a world power, we don't need to do a whole lot about it: China is quite capable of messing up its own bed. I believe that our position should be one of passive force, engaged but not meddlesome, and somewhat authentically (imagine that!) a friend who is secure in giving constructive criticism without pandering to self interest. It's a hand on China's shoulder saying that we do not believe China will succeed in its world power endeavors and we will not hesitate to say why. Our policies should not continuously hand them carrots feeding their myopia. We should take a hard line on their support of Somalia, their heavy-handedness toward Tibet, their warped nationalist pride toward the Taiwan issue, etc. Bush should not say - as he did - that he will attend the games in spite of events in Tibet (of course he doesn't give a piss about what happens to Buddhists). We should tie economic carrots to reform. We should put major pressure on environmental reform - including the pressure of setting a good example. We will not be preventing them from becoming a world power. If they continued in current fashion the wheelbarrow will dump anyway. We do not oppose them. They can become a world power if they want to. We will not send them to bed with no supper. But they must learn for themselves what "wanting to" actually entails. I don't think they will. I think the wheelbarrow will dump. What this means in terms of actual events I do not presume to know. But I am ready to wager that the metaphor will prove apt.
Monday, March 3, 2008
CHANGES IN ENVIRONMENTAL POLITICS
Saturday, March 1, 2008
Re: Gurdjieff on Movements (compare to qigong)
NOTE: These words need to be taken in context - he is speaking to pupils at his Institute who have taken on a serious program with a holistic aim - SteveGurdjieff on Movements [COMPARE TO QIGONG]
Gurdjieff wrote sparingly about movements. The following excerpt taken from Views from the Real World is reprinted by the kind permission of Triangle Editions, Inc.
First Talk in Berlin
November 24, 1921
You ask about the aim of the movements. To each position of the body corresponds a certain inner state and, on the other hand, to each inner state corresponds a certain posture. A man, in his life, has a certain number of habitual postures and he passes from one to another without stopping at those between.
Taking new, unaccustomed postures enables you to observe yourself inside differently from the way you usually do in ordinary conditions. This becomes especially clear when on the command "Stop!" you have to freeze at once. At this command you have to freeze not only externally but also to stop all your inner movements. Muscles that were tense must remain in the same state of tension, and the muscles that were relaxed must remain relaxed. You must make the effort to keep thoughts and feelings as they were, and at the same time to observe yourself.
For instance, you wish to become an actress. Your habitual postures are suited to acting a certain part—for instance, a maid—yet you have to act the part of a countess. A countess has quite different postures. In a good dramatic school you would be taught, say, two hundred postures. For a countess the characteristic postures are, say, postures number 14, 68, 101 and 142. If you know this, when you are on the stage you have simply to pass from one posture to another, and then however badly you may act you will be a countess all the time. But if you don't know these postures, then even a person who has quite an untrained eye will feel that you are not a countess but a maid.
It is necessary to observe yourself differently than you do in ordinary life. ...Everyone has a limited repertoire of habitual postures, and of inner states. She is a painter and you will say, perhaps, that she has her own style. But it is not style, it is limitation. Whatever her pictures may represent, they will always be the same, whether she paints a picture of European life or of the East. I will at once recognize that she, and nobody else, has painted it. An actor who is the same in all his roles—just himself—what kind of an actor is he? Only by accident can he have a role that entirely corresponds to what he is in life.
Views from the Real World, pp. 167–170